Your Voice: Vincent - Dead or Alive?

Lost Theories — May 20, 2008 at 7:40 am by admin

Submitted by Ian Robinson

Over the years I have read various theories about how Vincent could actually be the smoke monster, but while reading those theories I never gave them much ground to walk on.  Then I actually started thinking about it, and the theory is not as far out as I originally imagined.

First of all, I can (barely) understand how a human would survive that crash, but for a dog to survive is even harder for me to believe.  Especially since when we first spot him in the jungle, he is dry.  That would mean he would have had to land on the sand.  For a dog in a cage to get free on it’s own will, the cage door would need to snap off.  In order for this to happen, it is my opinion that the cage would have had to compress, and therefore Vincent surviving is already a question mark.


However, I was watching Lost season 1 again the other night, and it was on the episode where Jack kept seeing his father everywhere (White Rabbit) and I noticed something that I never realized before. Immediately after Jack sees his dad in the water, we see Vincent run up with a ball, soaking wet.  But it doesn’t seem like anyone is interested in playing catch with him, so where did he get the ball, and why would he go in the water without a need to?  I don’t exactly know how and can’t claim to, but I don’t think Vincent survived the crash.  His body is manifested by the smoke monster to keep up appearances.

I know you’re all thinking, "But everyone sees Vincent!"  The theory of only one person seeing the dead at any given time was thrown out the window when both Juliet and Jack saw her therapist.  Also, we’ve seen what Walt could do (bird died when it flew into the window, polar bear), so it is not entirely out of the question to think that the Island would want to keep him happy.  What better way to do this than allow his dog to live?

Anyway, so that one scene got me thinking, and I did some research into other times involving the dog.

First of all, there are his perceptions:

-Barking at the boars signifies an attempt to tell the islanders about food.

-Taking the blanket off Nikki and Paulo, because they weren’t dead.

-Barking at Sun and Michael before they almost kiss.

-Running past Jack,Kate, et al during season 3 to avoid Locke’s group from being detected.

Then there are the other strange moments:

-Doesn’t seem to warn Sun before she is attacked by Charlie, despite being in the area.

-Brings Charlie the virgin Mary, knowing it would take him to the rest and taunt him.

-When Shannon runs after Vincent, he disappears, but she sees Walt, and is subsequently shot.

-Before we see the ‘polar bear’, Vincent runs off into the reeds, disappears, and then the polar bears emerges.  What is interesting about this is it seems that Vincent is able to bark at boars, but when there’s a polar bear around, he runs toward the problem and isn’t heard from.

I may be out on a limb, but I don’t think everything is right with Vincent.  Especially in those few scenes, he seems to be in the vicinity of things that are about to go wrong a little too often.

If you look back from Season 1 to Season 4, try to match up all the times that we see the smoke monster (or apparitions) and Vincent at the same time.  There aren’t any.  In fact, many times he is focused on, and then runs off before the smoke monster makes an appearance.  Furthermore, twice in the first five episodes he is around Christian Shephard (Lost Missing Pieces before Jack opens his eyes, and ‘in the water’) though we know that Christian Shephard should be dead.  He is also around before Shannon sees ‘Walt’ (though Walt is off island at this point).

That’s all I’ve got for now.  Is Vincent dead or alive?

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